Moderates gain four points in new Novus poll

The Moderates have risen to 23.9% in a new Novus poll, four percentage points above their election result and two points behind the Social Democrats.

The TV4/Novus survey puts the Social Democrats at 25.9%, down 2.1 points, and the Left Party at 7.2%, down 1.2 points. The Liberals fall 1.4 points to 3.9%.

Novus says all four changes are statistically significant. The Liberal estimate is just below the 4% parliamentary threshold, but a poll carries uncertainty and does not determine election results.

Novus surveyed 2,512 eligible voters aged 18 or over between 5 and 11 October. The figures measure how respondents would vote now; they do not change the seats won in September’s election.

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