L climbs to 3.0% as M hits seven-year low

The Liberals have risen to 3.0% in a voter survey published ten days before Sweden’s election, while the Moderates have fallen to their lowest support in seven years.

The latest Verian barometer puts L up 1.1 percentage points from August. It is the survey’s only statistically significant change, but leaves the party below the 4% parliamentary threshold. M records 16.4%.

The opposition leads the governing parties and SD by 8.2 points. S stands at 29.2% and SD at 18.9%. Verian says the gap was about six points in the later part of the field period; that is a trend within the sample, not a separate result.

The survey uses about 3,000 interviews from a randomly recruited national panel, plus telephone interviews for people aged 85 and over. Fieldwork ran from 20 August into early September, with a response rate of about 40%. Results are adjusted for sex, age, region, education and previous vote.

The prior Verian barometer, published on 17 August, put L at 1.9% and M at 17.3%. The published article gives no numerical margin of error, and no movement other than L’s is reported as statistically significant. A poll estimates current voting intention; it does not predict the result.

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